Mainland China’s 31 provincial-level regions have varied geographic and natural resource endowments, demographics, and economic structures. As China’s economic growth slows in recent years, regional economic disparity widens, driving an accelerated polarization of local governments’ fiscal strengths.

This series of reports provide a snapshot on each of the provincial-level local governments and provincial-level state-owned enterprises (SOE) which play crucial roles in economic development in their jurisdictions. We hope investors find these reports useful at a time when pressure on local government debt is increasing with the growth rates of fiscal revenue slowing down and SOEs’ credit divergence is widening.

PROVINCE

Hebei Province and Local SOEs

Hebei is part of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Coordinated Development Plan and its economy relies on asset-heavy secondary industries, such as steel and coal. The provincial SOEs leverage profiles improved amid a strong commodity cycle in 2021.

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Province

Zhejiang Province and Local SOEs

China’s coastal Zhejiang province is one of nation’s wealthiest regions with high disposable income per capita and low rural-urban income gap.

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Province

Shanxi Province and Local SOEs

Shanxi is one of China’s largest coal centres and its economy is highly dependent on coal. A booming coal market has helped its provincial coal SOEs to improve onshore funding access and deleverage since 2H21.

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Province

Henan Province and Local SOEs

Henan has healthy government balance sheet but relies heavily on central government transfers, given the large population and agriculture, traditional manufacturing-focused economy.

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Province

Yunnan Province and Local SOEs

Yunnan is one of China’s poorest regions with low fiscal self-sufficiency and is highly reliant on central government transfers. The pressure on its provincial SOEs’ liquidity has eased since mid-2021, but credit risks among some SOEs remains.

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Province

Jiangsu Province and Local SOEs

Jiangsu is one of China’s wealthiest regions with a diversified industrial base. It has a large direct debt but a low debt/GDP ratio. Its provincial SOE issuers have a higher share of onshore bonds in the debt structure than other provinces’ peers.

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02Analysts

Ying Wang
Corporates - APAC
Managing Director
+86 21 6898 7980 |

Jenny Huang
Corporates
Senior Director
+86 21 6898 7979 |

Flora Zhu
Corporates
Director
+86 10 5957 0980 |

Jing Yang
Corporates
Director
+86 21 6898 7987 |

Karl Shen
Corporates
Director
+86 21 6898 7975 |

Shirley Liu
Corporates
Associate Director
+8621 68987973 |

Shuncheng Zhang
Corporates
Associate Director
+86 21 6898 7982 |

Samuel Kwok
International Public Finance Ratings - APAC
Senior Director
+852 2263 9961 |

David Sun
International Public Finance
Senior Director
+86 21 6898 7992 |

Ark Huang
International Public Finance
Director
+86 21 6898 7997 |

Sherry Zhao
International Public Finance
Director
+852 2263 9964 |

Jean Luo
International Public Finance
Associate Director
+852 2263 9952 |